D. Data · Data and ProbabilityWill Another Group Have the Same Mean, Median and Mode?D2.2 D1.5 A1About 45 minutesLearning goalsI can explain what a population is.I can predict whether the mean, median and mode will be about the same for a different population, and give a reason.I can test my prediction by collecting data.I can reflect on my prediction, even when it doesn't come true.Words to knowpopulationThe whole group you want to learn about, like all the students in Grade 1 or all the grown-ups in your family.predictionA thoughtful guess about what will happen, based on what you know.testCollect data to check whether a prediction is right.reflectThink back about what happened and what you learned.Remember from Grade 3In Grade 3 you predicted whether a different group would have the same mean and mode, and you tested your predictions. In Grade 4 you will add the median, and think carefully about why two groups might be the same or different.Would another class get the same answers?Room 9 counted the letters in each student's first name. Their mean, median and mode were all 5 letters.They wondered: Would the Grade 1 class get the same results? What about a group of grown-ups?Each group we study is called a population. Different populations can give different data, but sometimes they give very similar data.How to make a good predictionAsk yourself: Is there a reason these two populations would be different?If the groups are different in a way that matters (age, size, season, a special event), predict that the measures will be different, and say which will be higher.If there's no reason for a difference, predict that the measures will be about the same.Even when you predict "about the same", the numbers are rarely exactly the same. Data always has some chance in it.Worked exampleExample 1: Letters in first namesPrediction: Room 9 (Grade 4) and Room 3 (Grade 1) will have about the same mean, median and mode for the number of letters in first names. Test it with this data.Room 9: 4, 5, 5, 6, 3, 5, 7, 4, 6Room 3: 6, 4, 6, 5, 3, 8, 6, 4, 3Reason for the prediction: names don't get longer as you get older, so there is no reason for the classes to be different.Room 9: in order 3, 4, 4, 5, 5, 5, 6, 6, 7. Total 45, and 45 ÷ 9 = 5. Mean 5, median 5, mode 5.Room 3: in order 3, 3, 4, 4, 5, 6, 6, 6, 8. Total 45, and 45 ÷ 9 = 5. Mean 5, median 5, mode 6.Compare: the means and medians are the same. The modes are different (5 and 6), but close.The prediction was mostly right: the mean and median match. The mode was a little different, which can happen just by chance.Worked exampleExample 2: Hand spansPrediction: Grade 1 students will have a smaller mean, median and mode hand span than Grade 4 students. Test it. Hand spans in centimetres:Grade 4: 13, 14, 15, 15, 16, 16, 16Grade 1: 11, 12, 12, 12, 13, 14, 17Reason: younger children usually have smaller hands.Grade 4: total 105, and 105 ÷ 7 = 15. Mean 15 cm. Median (4th value) 15 cm. Mode 16 cm.Grade 1: total 91, and 91 ÷ 7 = 13. Mean 13 cm. Median 12 cm. Mode 12 cm.All three Grade 1 measures are smaller. Notice that one Grade 1 student (17 cm) has a bigger hand span than every Grade 4 student in the data! The measures describe the groups, not every person.The prediction came true: the Grade 1 mean, median and mode are all smaller.MeasureGrade 4Grade 1Mean15 cm13 cmMedian15 cm12 cmMode16 cm12 cmHand spans: comparing two populations.04812161513Mean1512Median1612ModeGrade 4Grade 1Hand span (cm)Hand spans: two populationsIn every pair, the Grade 1 bar (right) is shorter. All three Grade 1 measures are smaller, just as predicted.Worked exampleExample 3: When a prediction doesn't come trueRoom 9 predicted that Room 14 (also Grade 4) would read about the same number of books over the winter break. Test it.Room 9: 2, 3, 3, 4, 4, 4, 8Room 14: 4, 6, 7, 8, 8, 9, 14Room 9: total 28, and 28 ÷ 7 = 4. Mean 4, median 4, mode 4.Room 14: total 56, and 56 ÷ 7 = 8. Mean 8, median 8, mode 8.Room 14's measures are double Room 9's. The prediction was not right.Reflect: Room 9 asked Room 14 about it. Room 14 had a winter reading challenge! That was a difference Room 9 didn't know about.The prediction didn't come true, and that's okay. Room 9 learned something new: a reading challenge can make a big difference.Worked exampleExample 4: Same mean, different median and modeTwo hockey teams scored these goals in 5 games. Team X: 2, 2, 5, 7, 9. Team Y: 1, 6, 6, 6, 6. Find the mean, median and mode for each.Team X: total 25, and 25 ÷ 5 = 5. Mean 5. Median 5. Mode 2.Team Y: total 25, and 25 ÷ 5 = 5. Mean 5. Median 6. Mode 6.The means are the same, but the medians and modes are different.Two populations can share one measure and differ on another. That's why we check all three.012345678910Team Xmean 5012345678910Team Ymean 5Goals in a gamemedian 5, mode 2median 6, mode 6Both teams have a mean of 5 goals (the triangle is the balance point). But their dots are spread differently, so the median and mode are different.Making good predictionsGive a reason for every prediction.Use careful words: "about the same", "probably higher".Collect enough data to test it. A few values can surprise you.Reflect afterwards, especially when you were wrong. A wrong prediction often teaches you the most! Mathematicians and scientists are wrong all the time, and they keep going.Just for funA careful prediction: "It will probably snow this week."A not-so-careful prediction: "It will snow exactly 47 cm on Tuesday at 2:07 p.m., and a moose will build a snowman."Words like probably and about the same are a data detective's best friends!Hands-on activityPredict and test: kids' and grown-ups' hand spansYou need: a ruler, paper and a pencil.Predict: Will grown-ups have the same mean, median and mode hand span as kids? Write your prediction and a reason.Measure: spread your fingers wide on the table. Measure from the tip of your thumb to the tip of your little finger, to the nearest centimetre. Measure at least 5 kids (you, siblings, cousins, friends) and 5 grown-ups.Calculate: find the mean, median and mode for each group. If the mean doesn't divide evenly, say which two numbers it is between.Compare and reflect: Did your prediction come true? Was anyone surprising, like a kid with big hands?Math talk: "If we measured 50 grown-ups instead of 5, do you think the results would change much?"Your turn1What is a population?Show answerThe whole group you want to learn about, like all the Grade 1 students in a school.2Predict: Would the mean height of Grade 4 students be the same as the mean height of Grade 8 students? Give a reason.Show answerNo. Grade 8 students are older and usually taller, so their mean height would probably be higher.3Predict: Would two Grade 4 classes in the same school have about the same median number of pets? Give a reason.Show answerAbout the same. There is no reason for the two classes to be different. The numbers might not match exactly, by chance.4Example 1: which measures were the same for Room 9 and Room 3?Show answerThe mean (5) and the median (5). The modes were different (5 and 6).5Example 2: how much greater is the Grade 4 mean hand span than the Grade 1 mean?Show answer2 cm. 15 − 13 = 2.6What is the median hand span for Grade 1?Show answer12 cm. In order: 11, 12, 12, 12, 13, 14, 17. The 4th value is the middle.7Give one reason a good prediction might still not come true.Show answerAny of: chance, a small group, or something you didn't know about (like Room 14's reading challenge).More practice: warm-up1Find the mean of 2, 4, 6.Show answer4. 12 ÷ 3 = 4.2Find the median of 3, 8, 5.Show answer5. In order: 3, 5, 8.3Find the mode of 1, 1, 2.Show answer1.4Would you predict that Grade 4 students and grown-ups have the same mean shoe length? Why?Show answerNo. Grown-ups usually have longer feet, so their mean would probably be higher.5After you test a prediction, what should you do?Show answerCompare the results with your prediction and reflect on what you learned.More practice: on your own1Predict: Would the mean age of a Grade 4 class be the same as the mean age of the school's teachers? Give a reason.Show answerNo. Teachers are grown-ups, so their mean age would be much higher than about 9.2Example 3: Room 14 read 4, 6, 7, 8, 8, 9, 14 books. Check the mean, median and mode.Show answerTotal: 4 + 6 + 7 + 8 + 8 + 9 + 14 = 56, and 56 ÷ 7 = 8 (mean). Median: the 4th value, 8. Mode: 8 (appears twice).3Team X: 2, 2, 5, 7, 9. Which measure is the same as Team Y's, and which are different?Show answerThe mean is the same (5). The median (5 compared with 6) and the mode (2 compared with 6) are different.4Kit predicted her class and the class next door would have the same mode for number of siblings. The modes were 1 and 2. Was her prediction a bad one?Show answerNot necessarily. If she had a good reason (no reason for the classes to differ), it was a sensible prediction. Chance and small groups can make the modes come out a little different. Collecting more data would help.5Write a reason why grown-ups' mean hand span would probably be greater than kids'.Show answerGrown-ups have finished growing, so their hands are usually bigger than kids' hands.Challenge1Make two data sets of 5 numbers with the same median but different means.Show answerSample: 1, 2, 5, 6, 6 (median 5, mean 20 ÷ 5 = 4) and 3, 4, 5, 8, 10 (median 5, mean 30 ÷ 5 = 6). Other answers are possible.2Two new students, Natalie (7 letters) and Ava (3 letters), join Room 9. Room 9 had 9 students with a mean of 5 letters. What is the new mean?Show answerStill 5. The old total was 9 × 5 = 45 letters. 45 + 7 + 3 = 55 letters for 11 students. 55 ÷ 11 = 5.3Plan a test for this question: "Do students who play hockey hold a plank for the same median time as students who don't?" Write a prediction with a reason, and say what data you would collect.Show answerSample: Prediction: hockey players will have a higher median, because they train their core muscles. Data: time (in seconds) that each student in both groups holds a plank, with at least 10 students per group. Then find and compare the medians, and reflect. Any clear prediction with a reason and a fair plan is correct.Check your understandingQuiz1. What is a population in data?The biggest number in the dataThe whole group you want to learn aboutA kind of graph2. For which data would you predict two populations to have about the same mean?Letters in first names: two Grade 4 classes in the same schoolHeight: Grade 4 students and grown-upsShoe length: Kindergarten students and Grade 8 students3. You predict Grade 1 students will have a smaller mean hand span than Grade 4 students. What is the best reason?Younger children usually have smaller handsHand spans are qualitativeGrade 1 has fewer students4. Your prediction did not come true. What should you do?Change the data so it matchesReflect on why and what you learnedGive up5. Team X: 2, 2, 5, 7, 9. Team Y: 1, 6, 6, 6, 6. Which measure is the same for both teams?The meanThe modeThe median6. Room 14 had a winter reading challenge. How does this help explain why its mean was higher than Room 9's?It doesn't explain anythingRoom 14 has more letters in their namesThe challenge gave Room 14 a reason to read more booksMark lesson completeFor parents and teachersWhat this lesson teaches: making and testing predictions about whether the mean, median and mode of a data set will be the same for data from different populations (D2.2), using the measures from D1.5. Persevering and reflecting when a prediction doesn't come true (A1) is a key part.How to help at home:Do the hand span activity, or compare other data between kids and grown-ups (shoe length, how many minutes to tie shoes).Always ask for a reason: "Why do you think the grown-ups will be different?"Celebrate wrong predictions as chances to learn.Common difficulties:Predicting with no reason, or saying the measures will be exactly the same.Thinking that if a group's mean is bigger, every person in it is bigger.Arithmetic slips when finding three measures for two groups. Encourage organized work: one column per group.PreviousLikelihood and the Probability LineNextData and Probability: Unit Review